Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 15.217249 17.182019 19.320293 21.822806 24.674649 27.827225 31.581729
2025-02-23 11.866306 14.451319 17.498626 21.366932 26.162505 31.932672 39.432505
2025-03-02 9.696089 12.559512 16.163300 21.056210 27.563976 35.974395 47.752202
2025-03-09 8.261796 11.271450 15.274490 21.029842 29.161128 40.340235 57.049289
2025-03-16 7.173157 10.232344 14.499840 20.948394 30.553085 44.497196 66.580849
2025-03-23 6.557183 9.737219 14.368622 21.691297 33.138341 50.612865 79.815896
2025-03-30 5.894082 9.068170 13.870408 21.775209 34.678319 55.285375 91.441213
2025-04-06 5.222243 8.291615 13.095801 21.294367 35.208326 58.356699 100.812574
2025-04-13 4.687891 7.662119 12.465514 20.941538 35.857443 61.639877 110.941478
2025-04-20 4.404555 7.405484 12.402709 21.515221 38.134973 67.971694 127.447936
2025-04-27 4.174058 7.208268 12.409810 22.196372 40.666551 75.054469 146.412528
2025-05-04 3.908354 6.918339 12.218965 22.486274 42.492270 81.032124 164.090327
2025-05-11 3.550363 6.435673 11.649962 22.037933 42.915538 84.493106 177.479434
2025-05-18 3.243929 6.017084 11.156210 21.678746 43.477045 88.327793 192.369167
2025-05-25 2.982699 5.656421 10.732791 21.406027 44.176483 92.541640 208.826531
2025-06-01 2.780166 5.387701 10.457267 21.397505 45.424489 98.091031 229.310174
2025-06-08 2.591375 5.126436 10.167932 21.322333 46.511842 103.428613 250.216681
2025-06-15 2.503345 5.059465 10.263991 22.082889 49.563640 113.672015 285.147551
2025-06-22 2.359365 4.861729 10.066726 22.169905 51.071234 120.493762 312.518624
2025-06-29 2.178916 4.569159 9.637917 21.680374 51.142577 123.827941 331.162556
2025-07-06 2.026635 4.322671 9.284002 21.320972 51.476706 127.848745 352.408156
2025-07-13 1.959923 4.258047 9.326150 21.905891 54.247950 138.541629 394.798310
2025-07-20 1.904768 4.213881 9.409593 22.600327 57.395411 150.710197 444.009587